Možného rodina předvídaná a rodina skutečná
| Title in English | What Has Mozny Projected about the Family and What Has Really Happened |
|---|---|
| Authors | |
| Year of publication | 2002 |
| Type | Article in Periodical |
| Magazine / Source | Sociální studia |
| MU Faculty or unit | |
| Citation | |
| Field | Sociology, demography |
| Keywords | Projection; the family; fertility; unmarried cohabitation |
| Description | In this article the projected development of Czech family made by Czech family sociologist Ivo Mozny in the late 1980s is confronted with its real contemporary development. Demographic data show that in many instances Mozny was right in his predictions: he predicted that Czech anomalies in very low age at first marriage and first birth would cease to exist soon and that new young generation would start to postpone their entries into marriage. That had really happened. He assumed the increase of unmarried cohabitation and it had also happened; he also projected the increase in illegitimate births and that had become reality. He was quite sure that the high numbers of abortions will decrease and they had done so. On the other hand he thought that health status of Czechs would not get improved soon and that also the ecological deterioration of Czech environment would not be halted. In both of these guesses he was wrong. Naturally, he could have not known that as a side effect of Czech Velvet Revolution, there will come a stable, gradual and substantial increase of life expectancy of both Czech males and females as well as the substantial improvement in the quality of environment. |
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